Home / Blog / In-depth analysis of global freight rates in 2025:Expert Guide for Custom Bag Sellers

In-depth analysis of global freight rates in 2025:Expert Guide for Custom Bag Sellers

Global business container cargo ship in import export business logistic
Global business container cargo ship in import export business logistic

When the custom bag process is over, the key to the success or failure of the order is shipping and freight rates. Modern consumers usually expect to receive goods within 3 days, and accept up to 7 days. Any seller knows that it takes at least 15 days from the manufacturer’s order or even customization to the consumer’s hands. Therefore, sellers must be aware of and have the ability to discover popular trends, design in advance, find capable bag manufacturers, and plan logistics and shipping costs.
And controlling shipping costs is the key to staying competitive in the industry. Package size, weight, destination, and delivery time all affect the final cost. A smart shipping strategy can save a lot of costs. USPS business discounts can reduce retail prices by 15%, while FedEx small business members can enjoy discounts of up to 16% on some shipments.

In addition to helping you understand international shipping costs, cost estimators, and weight-based calculation methods, this detailed guide will also analyze logistics options for you based on sudden and major events such as April tariffs to help your bag business succeed.

1. Global major transportation modes and freight assessment

WayagingAdvantagesDisadvantagesPrice range (example)
Ocean Freight30–45 daysLowest unit cost, suitable for large quantitiesSlowest speed, easily affected by weather/portChina-Europe direction: $2,500–$3,200/FEU
air transport3–7 daysFastest timeliness and wide network coverageHigh cost and weight limitationChina-US: $8–$12/kg
Land transportation7–15 daysApplicable to cross-border land corridors (Eurasia)Cannot cross the ocean, need to change clothes many timesChina-Europe Railway: $1,200–$1,800/TEU
express delivery2–5 daysDoor-to-door service, simple proceduresThe highest cost per ticket, with strict weight/volume restrictionsDHL/UPS: $20–$35/kg

Evaluation Metrics

  • Timeliness vs. cost : Sea transport is preferred for bulk cargo, while air transport or express delivery is preferred for urgent orders/high-value light cargo.
  • Reliability : Railways are less affected by seasons; ocean shipping needs to pay attention to congestion and strikes; there are many air routes but the cancellation rate is rising.

2. China, the United States, and the EU’s tariff adjustments in April and their impact

  • United States : In early April, the temporary additional tariffs on bags and garments from China were temporarily raised from 30% to 145%. In mid-April, an agreement was reached with China to suspend implementation, and the tariffs on both sides were restored to the original 30%/10%.
  • China : At the same time, the tariff on imports from the United States was raised from 10% to 125%, and then also temporarily suspended the restoration to 10%.
  • EU : In April, the European Union launched a carbon emission surcharge (CBAM) on bag products in the Asia-Pacific region, increasing costs by an average of 5-8%; at the same time, it still retains a 12-15% tariff on some Chinese products.

Short-term impact :

  • A large number of “rush loading” in the first half of April caused the average ocean freight rate to increase by 12%;
  • After the tariffs were suspended in late April, air freight and express prices rebounded by 5–10% as buyers postponed bookings.
tariffs on a background of dollars with a balance symbol
tariffs on a background of dollars with a balance symbol

3. Overview of freight rates and tariffs in each regional market

routeFreight (FEU/TEU/kg)Tariff RateSurcharge
China → US West Coast$2,700/FEU; $9.5/kg (air freight)30% (145% before suspension)Fuel surcharge 15–18%
China → EU$3,000/FEU; $11/kg12–15%CBAM 5–8%
China → Southeast Asia$800/FEU; $4/kg0–5%few
Southeast Asia → America$2,400/FEU; $8/kg0–5%Fuel surcharge 12%
Europe → America$1,800/TEU; $7/kg2–4%Expressway service fee 10%

Note : The attached table is for example only. Actual prices are subject to season, route and contract negotiation.


4. How do bag manufacturers and sellers choose logistics solutions?

Clarify the properties of the goods

  • Large quantity, non-urgent shipment : sea freight + port to port is the most cost-effective.
  • Small batch, urgent order, high value : air transport or international express delivery is more stable.
  • Trans-European and Asian multi-country distribution : international railway transport or multimodal transport (land + sea) options are available.

Negotiation and price locking

  • Negotiate with more than 3 service providers (shipping companies, freight forwarders, couriers) at the same time;
  • Lock in a “long-term contract” to enjoy seasonal cabin priority and discounts;
  • Adopt a “multi-port dispersion” strategy to reduce the risk of a single route.

Additional Services and Insurance

  • Terminal/warehousing : estimate possible detention charges;
  • Cargo insurance : 0.3-0.5% of the cargo value is insured to avoid transportation loss risks;
  • Customs clearance agent : For new markets (EU, South America), please choose an agent who understands local regulations.

Timeliness vs. cost balance

  • Make time-efficiency plans for important exhibitions or large-scale promotions;
  • Flexibly use the “slow boat” model to reduce non-core quarterly costs.

5. Comprehensive freight comparison and cost estimation

planOcean freight (lowest cost)Air freight (best time)Railway (Eurasian land transport)Express (small items)
Cost per ticket2,500–3,200/FEU8–12/kg1,200–1,800/TEU20–35/kg
aging30–45 days3–7 days12–18 days2–5 days
Applicable scenariosBulkUrgent small batchEurasian Trade LineLightweight and precious
Tariffs & SurchargesIncluding fuel/delay in port 15%Including fuel/safety 12%Including railway management fee 8%Including customs clearance + delivery fee

Example calculation : A 40HQ cargo shipped from China to the West Coast of the United States in April:

  • Basic shipping fee: $3,000
  • Fuel surcharge (15%): $450
  • Documentation fee/demurrage: $100

Total cost : $3,550


6. Forecast of freight rates trends in 2025

  • First half of the year : Trade frictions and “rush loading” occurred occasionally, and freight rates fluctuated at a high level;
  • Second half of the year : Global demand fell, some bulk contracts switched to multimodal transport, and rates stabilized (ocean freight $2,800–$3,200);
  • Long term : Carbon emission costs, green shipping regulations and the relocation of production capacity from Southeast Asia will become the main driving forces.
Flat lay with flags of China ana USA and inscription “trade war” on gray background
Flat lay with flags of China ana USA and inscription “trade war” on gray background

Conclusions

Facing the complex and ever-changing tariff and freight environment in 2025, manufacturers and retailers should build a multi-channel, flexible logistics network and find the best balance between cost and timeliness through data-based evaluation and trend forecasting. Consumers can also use overseas warehouses, group orders and promotional activities to reduce price fluctuations caused by rising transportation costs.


FAQ

Q: How to estimate the total cost of different modes of transportation?

A: Basic freight + fuel/safety/carbon emission surcharge + customs clearance/warehousing/insurance = total cost.

Q: What risks should I pay attention to when choosing multimodal transport?

A: There are many transshipments and complicated procedures; it is necessary to confirm the carrier’s commitment and insurance coverage for each section.

Q: How to deal with sudden changes in tariffs?

A: Through “tariff guarantee insurance” or by adding a “tariff floating compensation” clause in the contract.

Q: Will EU CBAM exist for a long time?

A: As environmental regulations become stricter, CBAM is expected to become a normal practice, and a 5-8% budget needs to be reserved in advance.

Q: How can manufacturers reduce the cost of small batches?

A: They can use less-than-consumer container load (LCL) or regional warehouse consolidation to share the shipping and customs clearance costs.

Picture of Bruce Su

Bruce Su

I'm Bruce Su, founder and CEO of Shen Xiu co. We are China Original Bag & Backpack Manufacturer, who can produce mommy bags, Nurse bags, Stroller bags, Bento bags, Diaper Bags, Hospital bags, Backpack, Sling bags, Drawstring bags, Tote bags etc..... Oem & Odm acceptable. Any small details can be customized.

Related Reading

Table of Contents

Ask for an instant quote

Let's Talk Your Amazing Project to be Realized.

Custom Backpacks & Bags

enkel

Furniture for life

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Ut elit tellus, luctus nec ullamcorper mattis, pulvinar dapibus leo